Benchmark analysis of the function of the demand for wheat imports in Iraq to implement self-regression to slow distributor ARDL model for the period (1980-2011)

	Benchmark analysis of the function of the demand for wheat imports in Iraq to implement self-regression to slow distributor ARDL model for the period (1980-2011)
magazine of college Administration&Economics for economic &administration & financial studies
Article 1, Volume 174, Issue 19, 2016, Pages 25-47
Abstract
Abstract Econometric Analysis of Demand Function for Wheat Imports using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) in Iraq for the Period 1980 - 2011 the research aims to release the reality of production and consumption of rice and estimate the demand function on imports of rice in Iraq as part of a dynamic application ARDL model. shows that the increase in production is less than the increase of consumption and the cause of low production of rice due to lack of water in the Tigris and Euphrates rivers . As the incoming water to Iraq fell from 77 billion cubic meters annually during the eighties to 33 billion cubic meters per year during the first decade of the third millennium . And that the GDP change rate of 1% increase in demand for wheat imports by 54%, and that the rise in the relative prices at a rate of 1% offset by a decline in demand for wheat imports in the long-term rate (11%), and the population at a rate of 1% change increases in the demand for wheat imports by 24% in the long term.

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