Using time series in educational planning by using forecasting models for the educational data and information

Jameel Khaleel, Basheer; Issa Mohammed, Aqeel

	Using time series in educational planning by using forecasting models for the educational data and information
Al-Fatih journal
Article 1, Volume 13, Issue 72, 2017, Pages 304-321
Authors
Basheer Jameel Khaleel; Aqeel Issa Mohammed
Abstract
This study aimed to use time series to predict the numbers of students and teachers by using specific forecasting models for predicting the reality of education in a scientific and secure way to reveal what may happen in the future. By Using scientific and technical methods to predict what is happening for a certain period may be short, medium or long term, using special techniques for different time series periods based on previous data and information for a time series and notice all the circumstances of the direction and seasonal and periodic. By preparing formulas close to the reality in the future can be reliance on it. Double exponential smoothing used in this study because the data has no fluctuation and the numbers of students and teachers are increasing and regular. In this study, two time series took for the numbers of students and numbers of teachers for eleven years .The number of the predicted students in (2017/2018) is (9592079) for all educational levels began from kindergarten to the secondary, while the predicted number of students in (2026/2027) is (13112670). The number of predicted teachers in (2017/2018) is (464794) for all educational levels, the predicted number of teachers in (2026/2027) is (493221) teachers.
Keywords
Planning; time series; Forecasting

Statistics Article View: 133 PDF Download: 77