Estimating the Gap of the Electrical Energy Demand of Nineveh Governorate Residential Sector Until Year 2010

Al-Barwari, Dr. Anmar; Al-Hayali, Yosra

doi:10.33899/tanra.2010.161879

	Estimating the Gap of the Electrical Energy Demand of Nineveh Governorate Residential Sector Until Year 2010
TANMIYAT AL-RAFIDAIN
Article 8, Volume 32, Issue 99, 2010, Pages 130-149 PDF (240.12 K)
Document Type: Research Paper
DOI: 10.33899/tanra.2010.161879
Authors
Dr. Anmar Al-Barwari; Yosra Al-Hayali
Abstract
Abstract Electric energy is of vital importance for daily life activity of the modern societies, and its average individual consumption is one of the most important indicators of economic development. Residential sector of Nineveh Province has suffered since 1991 like all Iraqi Provinces from the lack of electricity supply. This was a setback in the way of growth and development. Therefore data collected of the monthly electrical energy sells of Nineveh residential sector for the period from 2004-2007. They were examined and discussed by Macklarn method: which disregards unusual values and be replaced with the average value of similar months in the data sample. As a hypothesis in this research, there are many variable factors shared by different ratios in the growth of the gap of electrical energy demand that are GDP and temperature. To achieve and test this hypothesis, the descriptive and quantitative approaches have been used in forecasting the gap of electrical energy demand. The goal of this study is to explore the nature of available monthly demanded electricity consumption in residential sector for the period 2004-2007 and forecasting Demand, Supply and its gap from 2008 to 2010. 2008-2010.
Keywords
the Gap; the Electrical Energy

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