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Future expectations of the average family size in Anbar Governorate | ||
| Journal of University of Anbar for Humanities | ||
| Article 13, Volume 2024, Issue 2, June 2024, Pages 883-898 PDF (1.69 M) | ||
| Document Type: Research Paper | ||
| DOI: 10.37653/juah.2024.183640 | ||
| Authors | ||
| Luma Eid Khalaf* 1; Ayad Mohammad Makhlef Al- Adwan* 2 | ||
| 1University of Anbar - College of Education for Humanities | ||
| 2University of Anbar - College of Education Humanities | ||
| Abstract | ||
| Objectives: Identifying the future size of the family in Anbar Governorate, by knowing the preferred number of children for the family, regardless of the actual family size. The results of the 1997 population census, the results of the 2021 field study, office sources, and some statistical methods, including the population projection equation, were relied upon. As well as using tables, maps and figures to facilitate comparison and draw conclusions Method: The research relied on the analytical-deductive approach and the adoption of quantitative methods to identify the existing reality of family size and predict the future of families in Anbar Governorate. Results: The trend towards reducing family size in Anbar Governorate appears clear in the future. However, it is not similar to its counterpart in developed countries. Rather, the trend is towards families with a size of (5-6) children, who prefer the countryside, at a rate of (42.9%) of the total families in the countryside, compared to (41.4%) of the total urban families who prefer (3-4). ) children. Conclusion: The average family size for the year 2031 throughout the governorate will decrease to (7.1) individuals in 2031, after it was (7.6) in 2021, and it will decrease in urban areas to (6.8) individuals in 2031, after it was (7.2) individuals. It is expected It will also decrease in the countryside to (7.3) individuals, after it was (8) individuals for the year 2021. | ||
| Keywords | ||
| family; size; future expectations | ||
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