Future scenarios for the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and their implications for the global order

Kro, Ibrahim Ali; Suleiman, Omar Haji

doi:10.37651/aujlps.2025.160277.1528

	Future scenarios for the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and their implications for the global order
Journal of Anbar University for Law and Political Sciences
Article 18, Volume 16, Issue: 1, March 2026, Pages 448-479 PDF (1.13 M)
Document Type: Research Paper
DOI: 10.37651/aujlps.2025.160277.1528
Authors
Ibrahim Ali Kro^* ¹; Omar Haji Suleiman²
¹Faculty of Political Science\ \University of Duhok\\ \Kurdistan Region of Iraq
²Faculty of Political Science\University of Duhok / Department of International Relations
Abstract
With the ongoing Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the global system faces major challenges that could lead to a reshaping of international power dynamics. The shifts in inter-state relations and the competition among major powers create opportunities for profound transformations in the structure of the global order. In this context, several future scenarios for this conflict emerge, each of which will have a direct impact on international stability and the nature of political and economic alliances in the coming years. The research problem revolves around the main question: How does the Russian-Ukrainian conflict affect the reshaping of the global order? What are the possible scenarios for the course of this conflict, and their implications for global political stability? This requires an in-depth study of the history of the conflict, along with future prospects, given the ongoing conflict. The research relies on a descriptive and analytical approach to studying the repercussions of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict on the global order, by analyzing the associated political and economic contexts and anticipating future scenarios and their impact on global stability.
Keywords
Russia-Ukraine conflict; world order; political and economic alliances; international stability; future scenarios

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